Well, let me tell you, this whole NFL confidence pool thing, it’s a real head-scratcher. But I’ve been watchin’ these games for longer than some of you young folks been alive, so I reckon I got a few tricks up my sleeve. You see these fellas runnin’ around, smashin’ into each other? It ain’t just luck, no sir. There’s some thinkin’ to it, some know-how that these expert picks folks try to figure out.
Now, I ain’t no fancy expert, but I’ve seen enough football to know a good team from a bad one. You gotta look at the whole picture, you know? Like, who’s playin’ quarterback? Is he one of them fancy boys who can throw the ball a mile, or is he more like a scared rabbit back there? And what about them big fellas up front, the ones protectin’ the quarterback? They any good? You gotta have some strong boys there, or your quarterback ain’t gonna last long, I’ll tell ya that much.
So, this confidence pool thing, it’s like bettin’, but not really. You pick who you think’s gonna win each game, and you put these points on ’em. The more points you put on a game, the more sure you are that team’s gonna win. It’s like sayin’, “I’m puttin’ my money on them to win, and I’m darn sure about it!” Now, I heard some folks call it pick’ems. Same thing, different name, I guess.
Each week, you gotta make your NFL picks. Some weeks got 15 games. Some weeks only 14. Just depends. You gotta assign points to each game. Like, if there are 15 games, the most points you can give one is 15. That means you think, boy howdy, that team is gonna win for sure! Then you give 14 points to the next game you’re pretty sure about, and so on, all the way down to 1 point for the game you ain’t so sure about.

- You pick all the games.
- You put points on ’em, 1 to whatever, dependin’ on how many games there are.
- More points mean you’re more sure about your pick.
Now, these expert picks, they got all sorts of fancy ways of figurin’ out who’s gonna win. They look at all the numbers, who’s hurt, who’s playin’ good, who’s playin’ bad. They even look at the weather, I heard! I just go with my gut, mostly. I’ve seen enough football in my time to know when a team’s got that fire in their belly, and when they’re just goin’ through the motions.
They keep track of all these points all season long, these confidence points. And at the end, whoever’s got the most points, well, they win. They’re the smartest cookie in the jar, I reckon. I heard one year some fella got over a thousand points! That’s a lot of right guesses, let me tell you.
There’s different kinds of these football pools, too, not just for the NFL. Some folks do it for them college boys, too. Same idea, just different teams. And I guess there’s different ways to win, too, dependin’ on how they set it up. Some might give prizes to the person who gets the most right each week, some might just do it for the whole season. Lots of ways to skin a cat, as they say.
This one fella, they call him Doc, he’s supposed to be one of these expert picks folks. He gives out his picks for every NFL game, every week, all season long. People must think he’s pretty smart, ’cause they listen to him. I don’t know, I still think it’s a lot of luck involved, no matter how much you study it.
It ain’t like pickin’ which cow’s gonna have her calf first. That’s somethin’ I know about. Football, well, it’s a little more complicated. But it’s fun to watch, and it’s fun to try to guess who’s gonna win. Keeps your mind workin’, you know? And maybe, just maybe, you’ll get lucky and win that confidence pool. Wouldn’t that be somethin’?
So, you wanna be good at this NFL confidence pool stuff? Here’s what I think: You gotta watch the games. You gotta pay attention. Don’t just look at the score, look at how they’re playin’. Are they fightin’ for every inch, or are they just givin’ up? That’ll tell you a lot. These expert picks for the current week and season are all fine and dandy. But don’t be afraid to go with your gut. Sometimes that old gut feeling is better than all the fancy numbers in the world. Just be smarter than a fifth grader, pay attention to the games, and you might just do alright.
These expert picks for every NFL game in week 1 are just guesses. Educated guesses maybe, but still just guesses. Just like bettin’ on the weather. You never really know what’s gonna happen. So, have fun with it. Don’t take it too serious. It’s just a game, after all. And remember, even an old gal like me can figure it out. Well, most of the time, anyway.














